UPDATE: Immigration dynamics in Texas are rapidly shifting as border crossings have fallen sharply, prompting a fierce debate in the state’s political landscape. Just announced, federal crackdowns on immigration enforcement are becoming a focal point for candidates ahead of the March 3, 2025 Texas Senate primary.
In Edinburg, Texas, construction leader Mario Guerrero expressed his support for Donald Trump, citing a dramatic spike in border crossings under the previous administration. Now, he faces a new challenge: federal construction-site raids disrupting operations. “The whole workforce, whether people have proper documentation or not, they’re all scared,” Guerrero stated, emphasizing the significant impact on local businesses.
The political scene is evolving, with Republican candidates ramping up their rhetoric on immigration enforcement rather than border crossings. John Cornyn, Ken Paxton, and Wesley Hunt are leveraging heightened ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) operations to galvanize their conservative base, despite warnings that this strategy may alienate moderate voters. Analysts suggest that while border crossings are down, the focus has shifted to inland enforcement, with ICE apprehensions surging 132% nationally from January to October 2025 compared to 2024.
Political tensions are escalating as candidates position themselves on immigration. Incumbent Cornyn is facing criticism from Paxton and Hunt, who argue he is out of touch with Trump’s hardline stance. Paxton has praised Trump’s aggressive policies, stating, “We are restoring national sovereignty and ensuring criminal aliens face justice.” Meanwhile, Hunt is pushing for legislation that would enforce stringent checks for those entering the U.S.
On the Democratic side, Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico are challenging the current enforcement approach. Talarico condemned what he describes as overly aggressive ICE tactics, stating, “That failure by Joe Biden paved the way for Donald Trump to come in with masked men… kidnapping people off the street.” He promotes a comprehensive immigration reform strategy that balances security with humane treatment.
Crockett, a civil rights attorney, has drawn attention for her controversial remarks likening ICE operations to “slave patrols,” causing a significant backlash. She argues for technological advancements in border security and has sponsored legislation aimed at reforming ICE practices.
The shifting immigration landscape is not just a primary issue; it resonates deeply with voters. Polls indicate that while concerns about illegal immigration persist, many Texans are also aware of the economic contributions immigrants make to their communities. Amerika Garcia Grewal, who organizes vigils for migrants, warns that aggressive enforcement tactics could backfire on Republicans as voters consider the human cost.
Political scientist Jeronimo Cortina notes that border issues no longer dominate discussions as they once did. “The unsettled question is how immigration politics evolve as the Texas race moves forward,” he says.
As the March primary approaches, the urgency surrounding immigration enforcement is palpable. Candidates are under pressure to articulate clear, actionable plans that resonate with a diverse electorate. With immigration shaping the political narrative, the stakes couldn’t be higher for both parties as they prepare for a contentious fight ahead.
Stay tuned for real-time updates as this critical issue develops in the lead-up to the Texas primaries.
